Fundamental Analysis (Forex Value Dates)

All Forex quotes are typically based on settlement business days after the transaction was executed (the one major exception being the USD/Canadian Dollar which settles after one business day). Theoretically a currency trader will take physical delivery of the currency in two days; however, delivery is avoided by rolling the positions forward one day, usually referred to as Tomorrow Next Day (Tom Next) procedures. The newly opened position is assigned a new value date allowing the client to hold this position another day without taking delivery of the currency.

The Tom Next rate is determined by the respective difference in interest rates between the two currencies held. If a trader is long a high interest currency and short a low interest currency he will earn interest for one day. If a trader is holding the foreign currency with the lower rate of interest he will pay interest. These payments are received during the establishment of the new opening rate, in the form of a slightly better or worse price after the roll (swap) has taken place.

During the roll procedure all open positions are closed at the current market rate, and any unrealized profits or losses are realized. This new rate is determined by the price the position was closed out at plus or minus the Tom Next rate. If a trader is flat e.g. long €2 million EUR/USD and short €2 million EUR/USD it is not necessary to roll positions.

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Fundamental Analysis

 Introduction

Why Trade Forex??!!!

The future is coming quickly upon us; very soon millions will be on the Internet trading foreign currency. Forex trading is gaining momentum now, as the word goes out that is a SAFE market to trade in.

The major reasons why Forex trading is catching on to the individual trader are Safety, Liquidity, Trade when you wish, guaranteed stop losses, and it’s fun.
You do not have to sit in front of your computer all day long to trade the Forex, although once you see the power of Forex trading you might want to. Our teaching methods will show you the correct entry and exit points. All you have to do is glance at the charts occasionally to see if correct entry point is approaching, and if it is then get in on the trade. We will even show you how to leave your computer and have your trade be closed automatically at the level that you wish.

Everything you need to trade in the Forex market will be provided to you. You will be able to participate in the trading seminars, listen and watch experienced traders in our system live to your computer.

The world is getting more complex, but getting smaller at the same time. The Internet has made information accessible to anyone on the planet. We urge you to educate yourself in the techniques of 1st Forex trading academy, as it is already becoming the best way to increase your income from your own computer.

Don’t be the one that says, «Forex, I could have been in that.» It’s time for 1st Forex Trading Academy to teach you how to make money with money. After all, when you boil it down, that is what currency trading really is.

Forex fits into your trading plan than gets started. Don’t be surprised that you can use various trading vehicles in the world of Forex.

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Advantage of Forex Currency Trading( Fundamental Analysis)

Foreign Exchange trading (also called Forex, FX, or currency trading) describes trading in the many currencies of the world. It is the largest and least regulated market providing the greatest liquidity to investors. Daily volume in the currency markets is around $1.6 trillion. By comparison, the NYSE daily volume averages $25 billion a day.

The spot Forex market is the most liquid. Spot, meaning that trades are settled within two banking days. There is no central exchange of physical location. Trading takes place over-the-counter, 24-hours a day directly between the two telephones and computer.

Participants in Forex include central banks, corporations, individual investors and speculators, and hedge funds. With the advent of electronic trading platforms, self-directed investors and smaller financial firms now have access to the same liquidity as larger market participants.

Trading, or speculation, makes up 95% of the daily volume. The other 5% of daily volume consists of governments and commercial companies converting one currency into another from buying and selling goods and services.

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Description( Fundamental Analysis)

Fundamental analysis requires, among other things, a close examination of the Forex in order to determine its current financial strength, future growth and profitability prospects, and current management skills, in order to estimate whether the currency price is undervalued or overvalued.

A good deal of reliance is placed on annual and quarterly earnings reports, the economic, political and competitive environment facing the country, as well as any current news currency or rumors relating to the economy. Simply put, fundamental analysis concerns itself with the «basics» of the business in assessing the worth of a currency. Fundamental analysis may be the preferred method to use for mid to longer term investors. However, it is not suitable for use by day traders because of the amount of research required, and the fact that trades are entered into and exited within a very short time frame.

At its broadest, Fundamental Analysis studies any data that might be expected to impact the price or perceived value of a currency, other than analyzing the trading patterns of that Forex itself. Fundamentals include economic factors, industry-specific trends, capital market conditions, and company-specific data and qualities. Within fundamental analysis lie the equally broad concepts of quantitative analysis, where economic or company-specific numerical data are analyzed with computer software and other objective means, and qualitative analysis, which examine less tangible concepts such as technology strength and management effectiveness.

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Read and understand a Forex Quote ( Fundamental Analysis)

A Forex quote is always a two-sided quote with a ‘bid’ and ‘offer’. The ‘bid’ is the price at which you can sell the base currency (i.e. buy the second currency). The ‘offer’ is the price at which you can buy the base currency (i.e. sell the second currency).
As mentioned before, the first currency listed is the base currency. In the major currency pairs the US dollar is traditionally treated as the base currency this includes USD/JPY, USD/CHF and USD/CAD. In this case $1 USD (the base currency) is quoted in terms of the second currency. For example, a quote of USD/JPY = 112.25 means that one US dollar is equal to 112.25 Japanese Yen.

Among the major currency pairs there are three exceptions where the US dollar is not quoted as the base currency, the Euro (EUR), the British Pound (GBP), and the Australian Dollar (AUD). In these cases, you might see a quote such as GBP/USD = 1.8455, which means that one British Pound equals 1.8455 US dollars.

In both of the above examples the base currency becomes stronger when its price increases. For example if the USD/JPY rises from 112.20 to 113.20 the dollar is stronger because it is now worth more JPY.

Cross currencies are currency pairs that do not involve the US dollar. For example: EUR/GBP, GBP/AUD, EUR/JPY, etc. A quote of EUR/GBP at 0.6750 signifies that one Euro is equal to 0.6750 British Pounds.

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Forex Value Dates(Fundamental Analysis)

All Forex quotes are typically based on settlement business days after the transaction was executed (the one major exception being the USD/Canadian Dollar which settles after one business day). Theoretically a currency trader will take physical delivery of the currency in two days; however, delivery is avoided by rolling the positions forward one day, usually referred to as Tomorrow Next Day (Tom Next) procedures. The newly opened position is assigned a new value date allowing the client to hold this position another day without taking delivery of the currency.

The Tom Next rate is determined by the respective difference in interest rates between the two currencies held. If a trader is long a high interest currency and short a low interest currency he will earn interest for one day. If a trader is holding the foreign currency with the lower rate of interest he will pay interest. These payments are received during the establishment of the new opening rate, in the form of a slightly better or worse price after the roll (swap) has taken place.

During the roll procedure all open positions are closed at the current market rate, and any unrealized profits or losses are realized. This new rate is determined by the price the position was closed out at plus or minus the Tom Next rate. If a trader is flat e.g. long €2 million EUR/USD and short €2 million EUR/USD it is not necessary to roll positions.

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Best Times to Trade(Fundamental Analysis)

EUR/USD
During the Tokyo session, the Euro only trades 15% of all volume so it is best to start watching the Euro late in the Tokyo session. It trades 39% of all Forex volume during the London session. It can also be traded during the New York session.
GBP/USD
The pound trades extremely lightly during the Tokyo session. Start watching it near the end of the Tokyo session as it can start moving then. In the London session, GBP/USD accounts for approximately 23% of all Forex trading volume. The pound can be traded in the New York session also.
USD/JPY

During the Tokyo session, USD/JPY accounts for approximately 78% of all Forex volume. This drops to about 17% during the London session. There are occasional days when these 3 pairs make significant price moves outside the sessions which normally have the most trading volume.
News Releases / Economic Data Releases
23:50 GMT Japan Fundamentals
07:45 GMT Euro Fundamentals
13:30 GMT USA Economic Figures

During Summer Time these news release times are 1 hour earlier.

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